Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.018977 0.020370 0.021816 0.023429 0.025181 0.027027 0.029122
2026-01-25 0.016687 0.018700 0.020895 0.023470 0.026416 0.029690 0.033614
2026-02-01 0.014998 0.017344 0.019996 0.023225 0.027068 0.031514 0.037072
2026-02-08 0.013658 0.016195 0.019145 0.022848 0.027397 0.032836 0.039879
2026-02-15 0.012689 0.015370 0.018566 0.022682 0.027880 0.034278 0.042823
2026-02-22 0.011845 0.014617 0.017993 0.022441 0.028199 0.035470 0.045455
2026-03-01 0.011154 0.013997 0.017527 0.022275 0.028562 0.036689 0.048142
2026-03-08 0.010549 0.013440 0.017095 0.022106 0.028878 0.037828 0.050745
2026-03-15 0.010101 0.013057 0.016856 0.022158 0.029467 0.039332 0.053905
2026-03-22 0.009644 0.012631 0.016530 0.022063 0.029831 0.040523 0.056666
2026-03-29 0.009249 0.012265 0.016259 0.022018 0.030245 0.041785 0.059575
2026-04-05 0.008888 0.011925 0.016003 0.021971 0.030640 0.043020 0.062494
2026-04-12 0.008537 0.011596 0.015762 0.021957 0.031114 0.044444 0.065867
2026-04-19 0.008250 0.011343 0.015617 0.022072 0.031785 0.046199 0.069873
2026-04-26 0.007882 0.010957 0.015261 0.021857 0.031941 0.047172 0.072698
2026-05-03 0.007502 0.010536 0.014833 0.021507 0.031865 0.047770 0.074935
2026-05-10 0.007206 0.010222 0.014547 0.021352 0.032073 0.048812 0.077950
2026-05-17 0.006912 0.009898 0.014228 0.021128 0.032154 0.049643 0.080647
2026-05-24 0.006656 0.009619 0.013965 0.020973 0.032331 0.050629 0.083659
2026-05-31 0.006415 0.009354 0.013708 0.020815 0.032489 0.051582 0.086661
2026-06-07 0.006241 0.009182 0.013587 0.020864 0.032983 0.053115 0.090783
2026-06-14 0.006043 0.008966 0.013388 0.020775 0.033239 0.054250 0.094244
2026-06-21 0.005868 0.008778 0.013223 0.020733 0.033568 0.055520 0.098029